Wednesday 4 July 2012

The Higgs Boson Conspiracy



So, scientists at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) have announced that two of their detectors have recorded high probability results for the discovery of the theoretical particle that would give support to the Standard Model of the Universe. This particle is the Higgs Boson. Essentially the Higgs Boson is a sub atomic particle that theoretically gives mass and allows for the operation of gravity, and its discovery would bring scientists a signifcant step closer to understanding how the Universe came into being, and how it operates, and perhaps more importantly, where it is going. What is interesting is the timing of this announcement, and the wording of the press conference and subsequent press releases. A close reading reveals that there have been two recordings at a five sigma level. This is a measure of the probability that the recording is not a fluke. In this case a probability of 1 in 1 million. This sounds very impressive, but in reality all this is saying is that something has been detected, but says very little about what that something is. There is also a problem with the timing of this discovery. The LHC is located in at CERN in Switzerland, and whilst Switzerland is not a signatory to the European Union its geographical location requires that it is funded by European Union countries, and perhaps more importantly utilises electricity generated by European member states for power. The cost of building CERN has been estimated at £3 billion but this is nothing to the cost of running the facility given the phenomenal power consumption.

There has been increasing demand placed on CERN scientists to demonstrate some return on the vast investment in the project, and three times in the last two months there have been questions raised in the European Parliament regarding future CERN funding. Now, CERN carries out a tremendous amount of fundamental research, but the one area that is guaranteed to generate media interest and reduce pressure from political quarters, and that is the discovery of the Higgs, otherwise referred to by the less scientific name the “God Particle”. The name arose because there are some scientists who believe that understanding and proving the Standard Model will remove the possibility of a creator being at the start of the Universe by demonstrating a scientific method for the entire process. This is a nonsensical suggestion, since faith precludes the possibility of scientific proof disproving God. It is already written in the Christian and Islamic faiths that there can be no proof or disproof of God, so what is the real reason for the name? Certainly it is nothing to do with Professor Higgs, a committed atheist, but what of some of his colleagues? As a name it certainly guarantees media attention whenever there is an announcement.

Now, as with any good science the secret is in the repetition. So far there have been two results, the race is now on to find more, confirmation being still some way off. My prediction? I fully expect this story to be remarkably similar to the NASA story some years about the discovery of bacterial fossils in a Martian meteorite. Remember that one? Big press conference and then it all seemed to go a little quiet? I strongly suspect that the same thing will happen here until such time that it is considered safe to announce that the recordings were in error. Why do I think this? Primarily because this is all based on the Standard Model being correct, and for me this is far from certain. There are several competing models, and they all have holes in them currently. This suggests to me that we don't yet understand the Universe well enough to create a complete model, and that all of the existing options will be superseded before too long. We will just have to see.

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